Saturday, March 10, 2007

Hillary Leads in Nevada Poll

A Research 2000 poll shows Hillary with a lead in Nevada. From the Political Wire:

In Nevada, a new Research 2000 poll released today finds that Sen. Hillary Clinton leads among likely Democratic caucus voters with 32% support, followed by Sen. Barack Obama at 20%. John Edwards and Al Gore were tied for third place at 11%.

On the Republican side, Rudy Giuliani leads with 38% support, followed by Sen. John McCain at 18% and Newt Gingrich at 11%.

Some observations:

  • I don't know who commissioned the poll and no more details are currently available.
  • There must be somewhere between 10 to 20% undecideds as the combined tally for the top four is 74%.
  • Gore is in the poll even though he's not running (yet? ever?).
  • No mention of Richardson.
  • It's still very early
  • And finally: this is a caucus! Not a primary. So, I wonder how soft these numbers are. Only people who are really interested in a candidate will go to the caucus. Organization on the ground is everything.
  • As for the Republicans: McCain's numbers suck. He's below 20% and Arizona borders on Nevada. Ouch.

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